569
FXUS66 KSGX 051033
AFDSGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Diego CA
233 AM PST Thu Mar 5 2026

.SYNOPSIS...
Areas of gusty north winds will develop today and continue into
Friday, then become northeasterly and expand southward into San
Diego for the weekend with gusts to 45 to 55 mph along and below
the coastal slopes of the mountains. A low pressure system
centered somewhere off the coast of northern Baja will bring a
slight chance of showers for Sunday and Monday. Then dry and
warmer weather for the middle of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

.SHORT TERM (Today through Saturday)...
A coastal eddy and stronger onshore flow has brought deepening of
the marine layer to around 3000 feet with widespread coastal low
clouds extending inland across most of the coast and valleys. As
lower-level flow becomes northerly and strengthens this morning,
the low clouds will clear from north to south during the morning.
North winds will strengthen along and below the coastal slopes of
the mountains in Orange and southwestern San Bernardino Counties
today and in the northern and eastern Coachella Valley mostly to
the north of Interstate 10 with gusts to 35 to 45 mph at times
with isolated gusts to 55 mph.

High temperatures for the deserts into the mountains will cool 5
to 10 degrees today with the coast into the western valleys 5 to
10 degrees warmer than Wednesday. High temperatures today for the
coast and valleys will be mostly in the upper 60s to mid 70s with
the lower deserts in the upper 70s to around 80. High temperatures
on Friday will warm slightly for the coast into the western
valleys and cool slightly for the deserts into the mountains.

As the center of a closed low pressure system develops somewhere
near or offshore of northern Baja for the weekend into early next
week, the lower-level flow across southwestern California will
become northeasterly. Northeast winds along and below the coastal
slopes of the mountains will expand southward into San Diego with
gusts to 45 to 55 mph with isolated gusts to 70 mph for the
weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM (Sunday through Wednesday)...
That low pressure system will also bring a slight chance of
showers at times for Sunday and Monday with the relatively greater
chances for showers over the mountains and toward the south across
San Diego County. There is still some model spread in the
placement of the lower pressure system with cluster analysis
showing those model solutions with the placement a little farther
west having the greater potential to produce some precipitation
across portions of southwestern California on Sunday and Monday.
Early next week, that low pressure system is expected to begin
weakening and moving slowly eastward and inland with warming and
drying for the area for the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
051030Z....Coast/Valleys...Low clouds filling the coastal basin have
bases 1200-1800 feet MSL, tops to 2600 feet, and vis reduced 0-5SM
in the inland valleys. Scatter out to occur from north to south 15-
17Z. Mostly clear thereafter. Gusts 20-30 kts in northern Inland
Empire below mountain passes through 02Z this evening. Areas of LLWS
and mod up/down drafts expected.

Mountains/Deserts...Mostly clear and VFR conditions today and
tonight. Westerly winds transitioning to northerly this morning: 25-
40 kts with isold gusts to 55 kts through mountain passes and on
coastal facing foothills. Areas of LLWS and mod up/down drafts in
lee (south of) mountains mainly in SBD County.

&&

.MARINE...
Stronger northwest winds with gusts up to 25 kts will develop today
generating choppy and hazardous conditions through this evening. A
Small Craft Advisory contains the details. No additional hazardous
marine conditions are expected through Monday.

&&

.SKYWARN...
Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are
encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Wind Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 4 PM PST Friday for
     Orange County Inland Areas-San Bernardino County Mountains-
     San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys-The Inland
     Empire-Santa Ana Mountains and Foothills.

     Wind Advisory until 4 AM PST early this morning for Riverside
     County Mountains-San Bernardino County Mountains-San Diego
     County Deserts-San Diego County Mountains.

     Wind Advisory until 6 PM PST this evening for Apple and Lucerne
     Valleys-San Gorgonio Pass near Banning.

     Wind Advisory until 6 PM PST this evening for Coachella Valley.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 PM PST this
     evening for Coastal Waters from San Mateo Point to the
     Mexican Border and out to 10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 10 PM PST this
     evening for Waters from San Mateo Point to the Mexican
     Border Extending 10 to 60 nm out including San Clemente
     Island.


&&

$$

PUBLIC...17
AVIATION/MARINE...MM

NWS San Diego (SGX) Office



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